This course will introduce students to how managers and organizations collect, process, and interpret observations about the world around them to facilitate informed decisions with the aid of models including those of artificial intelligence. The first portion of the course introduces students to models, the concept of data, and the use of data in workplace settings. Students will learn different practical methods of data gathering – from surveys and archives to experiments and crowd sourcing and explore basic methods of organizing data for robust and sustainable deployment. With data in hand, we explore how managers can use data, highlighting the incredible value resulting from cross tabulation, frequency distributions, and simple plots. This value is enhanced with basic statistical inference and populating models with data. One of the greatest barriers to linking data and decisions was the necessary computing; artificial intelligence tools have fundamentally changed that. The final portion of the course will focus on the use of artificial intelligence (AI), highlighting general features of how commonly deployed AI systems function and how they can solve challenges across various areas of business and explore the likely future.
Information is a resource; it should be used judiciously and efficiently. While a wealth of information is available at our fingertips, high quality information can remain a surprisingly scarce resource. We are inundated with data, facts, and figures that only become actionable through identifying meaningful patterns and trends, developing fundamental managerial insights, and extracting information essential to inform effective managerial decisions. The tools of this course are among the most important tools of effective managers.
While effective, there is a sense in which limitations imposed by linking decisions to measures and data are reductionist, potentially misleading, and pose potentially deep ethical challenges. Mindful of the central role that ethics must play in shaping organizational pursuits, we will tackle these challenges head on though only you can ground these in your deepest moral sentiments.
Upon successful completion of this course, you should –
The primary organizing resource for the course is the Open Introduction to Statistics. It is open and freely available in a variety of digital formats. Paper copies can be obtained as well if you so choose.
Diez, David M., Christopher D. Barr, and Mine Cetinkaya-Rundel. 2019.
OpenIntro Statistics: Fourth Edition.
Additional course materials – readings, examples, and exercises – will be posted regularly to our Canvas course site and the class website. I maintain Files and a Pages document with .pdfs and links on Canvas and will frequently link things via the course website on github.
To access the university sites, you will be prompted for your Willamette University login in order to gain access to course materials. The course will combine the use of Excel or Sheets for many tasks but we have reached an age where what once were difficult computing barriers have become trivial for LLM tools. We will exploit them.
Slides are always posted before class. Supplemental resources can be found on Canvas.
This course will require you to complete both individual assignments and group assignments. For individual assignments, I do not allow any form of student collaboration. I define student collaboration as any assistance given from one student to another student. Please feel free to talk with me before you engage in any activity that might satisfy the definition of “collaboration”; I would be happy to provide you my guidance on whether or not the activity is acceptable. By enrolling in this course, you agree to be held to my definition of “individual assignments” and “student collaboration.” For group assignments, students can and should work interactively, making it difficult to distinguish who completed which portions of the project. In the list of deliverables below, I designate individual work and group work.
Exams with integrity are a challenge. I am not restricting use of AI tools at all for your exam prep memos or for class exercises. However, you must keep two things in mind: using an AI system does not absolve you from the need to cite others’ work and you have to verify any information that an AI system provides. You will receive point deductions for uncited or incorrect information, as well as for uncited incorrect information (the latter sounds strange, but it can happen if you echo someone else’s erroneous ideas). You also must disclose when you use AI in your work; this disclosure should not be viewed as a hassle, but, instead, as an opportunity to display your skill in using AI systems. If you do find yourself thinking that the use of an AI system for a given activity is something you would rather not disclose, then I would contend that you do not need any further evidence to realize that you ought to dispense with the use of AI in that situation: just do the work on your own.
The academic calendar spans religious holidays, days of personal obligation, exceptional one-time work situations, bouts of illness, and unexpected difficult incidents that change our lives, such as the loss of family members or friends. If one of those important events (or any other important circumstance not listed) occurs on or near a day when we have a class session or deliverable due, please contact me. Together we will figure out an alternative arrangement that allows you to complete the requirements of this course without penalty while maintaining focus on important things that require personal attention. If you face a particularly severe situation that will require you to miss many class sessions, please contact me so that we can work together to determine whether it makes sense for you to step away from the course and complete it in the future, thus avoiding an additional stressor in the midst of exceptional challenges. In any event, please know that I firmly believe in accommodating every student’s important religious and personal commitments.
google meet recordings of every course meeting
are available, there are opportunities for making up missed classes; I
take this as license to assume you are familiar with the complete
contents of every class meeting. It is not a substitute for attentive
and active presence. It is an opportunity not to miss things.The university views this course as in-person. Students
cannot complete class exercises remotely, however, thus those attending
remotely will need to schedule a meeting with me to complete the
exercise.
| Grade | Range |
|---|---|
| A | 95-100 |
| A- | 90-94.5 |
| B+ | 85-89.5 |
| B | 80-84.5 |
| B- | 75-79.5 |
| C | 70-74.5 |
| C- | 65-69.5 |
| D+ | 60-64.5 |
| D | 55-59.5 |
| F | 0-54.5 |
I am not 100 percent certain on this part, we will discuss it.
Every student is expected at all times to abide by the Willamette University Atkinson Graduate School of Management Honor Code, Academic Integrity Policy, and Expectations of Academic and Professional Behavior as detailed in the current student handbook: https://willamette.edu/mba/students/full-time/mba-student-handbook/index.html
College of Arts and Sciences https://my.willamette.edu/site/policies/academic-integrity
I intend for students from all backgrounds and perspectives to be well served by this course. The Diversity of thought and experience that everyone brings to this class should be viewed as a resource, strength, and benefit. As such, we will strive to be open-minded and understanding of everyone’s perspectives and polite to each other when we disagree.
I will do my very best to insure useful google meet
recodings for every class. They are accessible via Canvas.
Student input for the purpose of course improvement is taken very seriously and will potentially be done periodically. Please take the time to evaluate this course and the instructor, especially at the end of the semester. Evaluations will in no way affect your grade. I simply cannot know the student experience in the classroom without your perspective.
In case of extreme weather conditions or when the university is
closed, classes are expected to be fully on google meet.
Unless the instructor makes a notification 24 hours before the class
starting hour, attendance will not be required and the class will be
recorded and shared for one week to the students. Students should attend
the session live or watch the recorded session to keep up with the
materials
I aim to create a learning environment that accommodates the diverse abilities of all students. As a result, I will move quickly to work with you so that, together, we can uphold the University’s official practice: “Students with disabilities who require accommodation should notify the instructor of the nature of accommodation in the first week of class. Additional support is available from the Willamette University Accessible Education Services Office.”
,
telephone 503-370-6737.
I expect you to be occupied first and foremost with managing your own learning. I am very much available to assist you in accomplishing our learning objectives but you must take an active role and that includes being proactive about knowledge gaps, struggles, and shortcomings before we can develop strategies for solving them. Indeed, the ability to recognize the limits of one’s own knowledge and expertise and seek out expert counsel is widely regarded as a key trait among successful professionals. As a matter of logic, managing your own success in the course cannot fall to anyone but you. I promise to do all that I can to assist you when you actively manage your mastery of course objectives.
The first class meeting engages a discussion about my philosophy on assessments, grading, and how learning occurs.
| Date | Class | Week | Lecture |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 1 | 1 | Introduction and Models |
| 2026-01-15 | 2 | 1 | What are Models? |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 2 | Data Types |
| 2026-01-22 | 4 | 2 | Data Storage |
| 2026-01-27 | 5 | 3 | Visualization I |
| 2026-01-29 | 6 | 3 | Visualization II |
| 2026-02-03 | 7 | 4 | Sources of Data |
| 2026-02-05 | 8 | 4 | Data Quality |
| 2026-02-10 | 9 | 5 | Probability I |
| 2026-02-12 | 10 | 5 | Probability II |
| 2026-02-17 | 11 | 6 | Distributions I |
| 2026-02-19 | 12 | 6 | Distributions II |
| 2026-02-24 | 13 | 7 | Interpretation I |
| 2026-02-26 | 14 | 7 | Interpretation II |
| 2026-03-03 | 15 | 8 | Recapping Data |
| 2026-03-05 | 16 | 8 | Midterm Examination |
| 2026-03-10 | 17 | 9 | Analytics I |
| 2026-03-12 | 18 | 9 | Analytics II |
| 2026-03-17 | 19 | 10 | Analytics III |
| 2026-03-19 | 20 | 10 | Analytics IV |
| 2026-03-31 | 21 | 12 | AI and the LLM |
| 2026-04-02 | 22 | 12 | AI Parameters |
| 2026-04-09 | 23 | 13 | AI Prompts |
| 2026-04-14 | 24 | 14 | AI Simulation |
| 2026-04-16 | 25 | 14 | AI Ethics |
| 2026-04-21 | 26 | 15 | Non-LLM AI |
| 2026-04-23 | 27 | 15 | AI and Analytics: Summary |
| 2026-04-28 | 28 | 16 | Final Review |
Syllabus and ModelClass 1 provides an introduction to the course. An overview of the syllabus, how I have planned the course, my expectations and accommodations, and the flow of our journey through models, data, analytics, and artificial intelligence.
LO: Models as crucial to the manager’s deployment of data, analytics, and AI
Ethics: What risks do model’s pose for their users?
Reading: Syllabus
Deliverable: Assignment 1 on canvas due 15-01-2026 at 11:59 PM. LLMs as reading support.
What are Models?Class 2 provides an introduction to models. What is a model?
LO: Models are ubiquitous, in management and in nearly every field of study at the university. We will explore types of models and their use with a view to combining them with observable information.
Ethics: Is importance associated, unnecessarily, with measurability?
Reading: The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy on Models in Science.
Deliverable(s):
Types of DataClass 3 examines models and types of data
The qualitative/quantitative distinction
Nominal
Ordinal
Interval
Ratio-scale
LO: Understand common ways of defining data via units of analysis, level of measurement, and variable type.
Ethics: Are there things we should not measure?
Reading: Chapter 1 of Open Intro Statistics
Data StorageClass 4 considers two distinct models of data storage: FMS and DBMS, the particulars of spreadsheets, and quick and dirty relational data.
LO: Understand different means of storing data and the tradeoffs associated with each method.
Ethics: When should we delete data? What data?
Readings: Data Organization in Spreadsheets
Visualization IClass 5 examines data visualization.
We take our motivation from Hadley Wickham’s Grammar of Graphics to be read for next time.
LO: Understand the role of contingency tables and simple visualization methods in understanding the contents of a data set.
Ethics: Is any visualization inherently deceptive [except a spreadsheet]?
Readings: Open Intro, Chapter 2
Visualization IIClass 6 continues summary and data visualization motivated by Hadley Wickham’s Grammar of Graphics which we should have read for this time.
LO: Understand the interaction of summary and visualization
highlighted by datasaurus. Differentiate appropriate
visualizations by data type.
Ethics: Is there a truly neutral visualization of data?
Readings: Chapter 2 and Visualization Errors by the Economist
Sources of DataClass 7 examines data sources. How are data collected and/or generated?
LO: How are data collected? Describe the modes and consequences.
Ethics: What principles should guide data collection?
Readings:
Chapter 1, Sections 2.5, 3, and 4
Data QualityClass 8 considers the quality and reliability of data.
LO: Methods of collection influence the reliability of conclusions.
Ethics: Is inference morally questionable when it implies individual characteristics?
Readings: Chapter 1, Sections 1.3 and 1.4 On Randomization
Probability IClass 9 introduces probability.
LO: Defining probability and its arithmetic, calculating proportions in tables.
Ethics: Does probability deny absolute truth?
Readings: Chapter 3Probability IIClass 10 concludes probability.
LO: Bayes Rule, decision trees, and constructing distributions?
Ethics: Are ecological inferences dehumanizing?
Readings: Chapter 3 and selections from Jaynes on Canvas.
Probability Distributions IClass 11 introduces probability distributions.
LO: What is a probability distribution?
Ethics: Are probability distributions inherently reductionist?
Readings: Chapter 4
Probability Distributions IIClass 12 elaborates probability distributions with a focus on specific discrete and continuous distributions.
LO: Learning and applying common applications for probability distributions in management settings. Why do we make such assumptions?
Ethics: Should some the distributions of some phenomena not be studied and understood?
Readings: Chapter 4
Data Interpretation IClass 13 introduces statistical inference with a focus on binary outcomes in single and multiple samples.
LO: Defining inference and inferring quantities from binary data.
Ethics: What can we make of the concept of on average as it relates to people?
Readings: Chapters 5 and 6
Data Interpretation IIClass 14 continues statistical inference with a focus on quantitative outcomes in single and multiple samples paying attention to dependent samples.
LO: Defining inference and inferring quantities from metric data.
Ethics: What can we make of the concept of on average as it relates to people?
Readings: Chapters 5 through 7
Recapping Models and DataClass 15 provides a recap of our progress and a review for the midterm examination.
Ethics: Are exams good data? What might be better?
Assignment for discussion: Midterm Preparation Assignment
Midterm ExaminationClass 16 is the midterm examination.
Analytics IClass 17 examines correlation and relationships among variables.
LO: Correlation is not causation but could it be?
Ethics: The ethics of intervening randomly
Reading: Chapter 8.1 and Pearl’s Ladder of Causation
Analytics IIClass 18 provides analytical tools deploying our developed skills across the generic management field of operations.
Examples: Six sigma methods, scheduling, and queueing theory
Readings:
- Flow
Shop Schedules
Analytics IIIClass 19 provides analytical tools deploying developed skills in finance and accounting with examples from options pricing and cost accounting.
Examples: BSM Options Pricing and Cost Accounting
Analytics IVClass 20 provides applications of our analytical tools in human resource management. We explore the interaction of what is measured and employee response and consider the role of automated screening for employment.
LO: Understand basic applications of inferential tools to human resources and stakeholder management.
AI as LLMs IClass 21 introduces and defines the core of large language models, our AI tool of choice.
LO: How do LLM’s work? Is it just predicting a next word?
Reading:
- Google’s
crash course on LLMs
AI ParametersClass 22 deepens our understanding of large language models with a focus on model parameters.
Readings: - What is
Temperature?.
- LLM
Parameters from IBM - Advanced:
Hyperparameter optimization
AI PromptsClass 23 provides an overview of techniques for prompting large language models.
LO: Refining inputs to an LLM to improve the quality of outputs
Ethics: Do organizations have a responsibility to train employees on AI usage?
Readings:
- Prompting
Techniques
AI Simulation: The System CommandClass 24 examines the use of large language models in simulation with
particular attention to the system role.
LO: Understand the role of system in providing context for an LLM
Ethics: What are the risks of simulating living persons?
Reading:
+ Role
Playing with LLMs
AI EthicsClass 25 is dedicated to ethical issues in AI.
LO: Understand the ethical implications of each step of the AI development and deployment process.
Reading: Stochastic Parrots by Bender et al.
Non-LLM AIClass 26 touches on the theory of the mind and intelligence before turning to the broad array of AI that is not LLM.
Readings:
+ LLMs
and Intelligence.
+ Jensen Huang at CES
AI and Analytics: SummaryClass 27 summarizes our exploration of artificial intelligence via LLMs and the other models of AI in development.
Final Exam ReviewClass 28 provides a review for the final examination and a summary of course topics.
Deliverable: Exam Preparation Assignment
TBA at the scheduled time.
This document is a roadmap for our semester. We are learning about data and artificial intelligence tools together and our individual experiences shape how we interpret and value data. Like all your classes, you will get out what you put into this course. Asking for help from one another and your instructors is important, don’t be afraid to ask a question about something you don’t know or if you want to check your knowledge about something you think you know.
If this document is updated, a copy will be supplied to you
via Canvas and changes will be announced in class.. This
version was rendered 2026-04-23 10:28:22.718441. I would like to
acknowledge the RmdSyllabus
package and
@TheFallingDuck - Ben Linzmeier of the University of South Alabama
for an excellent and easy to use tool for creating syllabi in R using
markdown. The particulars of the course borrow much from prior
iterations of this course developed by Professor Tim Johnson of the
Atkinson Graduate School of Management at Willamette University.
NB: There are a few universally applicable policies across all campus units at Willamette University detailed herein. Otherwise, as a faculty member in the Atkinson Graduate School of Management, the syllabus is intended to comply with the requirements of Atkinson syllabi as they interact with Willamette College rules.