Global Strategic Trends: Evaluation and Articulation

Global Strategic Trends, Discussion

Robert W. Walker

2025-11-19

A First Note: Questions on the Assignment

A First Topic: What is the Scientific Method?

A New Context: A Gaza Ceasefire and the globe having changed…..

A New Context II: Chinese Export Controls on Rare Earth Minerals and Tariffs

Discussion Items

The aforementioned is one example of a through-line. Also, we should never forget this is an inherently British assessment.

  • What assumptions are required for the pathway? Are they stated or unstated?
  • What does the pathway in question look like?
  • How might we know a pathway is emerging?
  • How do we determine differentiators among pathways?
  • What would we want to measure?
  • What are indicators which help show what direction we are going?
  • What has been missed? Are there overlooked alternatives?

Consider this alongside the idea of claims tied to evidence by warrants with appropriate qualification.

A Deliverable

Formalizing the aforementioned into at least a nine point monitoring plan with specifics on the whats and whys. Measures? How do values map to judgements/claims?

Regions

MapESA

MapESA

MapSEA

MapSEA

MapCA

MapCA

MapSWA

MapSWA

MapAFR

MapAFR

MapRUS

MapRUS

PopEUR

PopEUR

MapCAC

MapCAC

MapNA

MapNA

Three Areas

  • Demographic Breakdown
  • Digital Usage
  • Climate, or ….

Demographics

PopESA

PopESA

PopSEA

PopSEA

PopCA

PopCA

PopSWA

PopSWA

PopAFR

PopAFR

PopRUS

PopRUS

PopEUR

PopEUR

PopCAC

PopCAC

PopNA

PopNA

Digital

DigESA

DigESA

DigSEA

DigSEA

DigCA

DigCA

DigSWA

DigSWA

DigAFR

DigAFR

DigRUS

DigRUS

DigEUR

DigEUR

DigCAC

DigCAC

DigNA

DigNA

Third Thing

ClimateESA

ClimateESA

ClimateSEA

ClimateSEA

ClimateCA

ClimateCA

ClimateSWA

ClimateSWA

EnerAFR

EnerAFR

WheatRUS

WheatRUS

MigEUR

MigEUR

ClimCAC

ClimCAC

DrugsNA

DrugsNA

The Arctic

Claims

Claims

Oil/Gas

Oil/Gas

Ships

Ships

Antarctica

Claims

Claims

Tourism

Tourism

The Oceans

Levels

Levels

Oil/Gas

Oil/Gas

Permits

Permits

Space/Orbits

Orbits

Orbits

Companies

Companies

Satellites

Satellites

Cyberspace

Usage

Usage

Information

Information

Incidents

Incidents

Themes

Society

Pop Dist

Pop Dist

Urbans

Urbans

World Religions

World Religions

Economics

GDP/MC

GDP/MC

Employment

Employment

Environmental Concerns

Global Temps

Global Temps

Energy

Energy

Info Tech

Global Transport

Global Transport

Causes

Causes

Conflict and Security

Regional Spend

Regional Spend

Minerals

Minerals