Probability Distributions

Author

Robert W. Walker

Published

February 17, 2026

Today, we explore probability distributions.

LLMs are Built on Probability Distributions

The next token prediction conditional on the current and prior tokens is exactly what large language models do.

The Last Supper

The Last Supper

More of a banquet…

Banquet

Banquet

Titled

Titled

One key bit of data

An App?

App

Slides

Link is here

The class plan:

  1. Defining probability.
  2. Pivots and tables.
  3. Visualizing tables.

GSheets

GSheets

Your assignment for this time:

  1. Do the reading.
  2. The assignment: use Gemini and/or Notebook LM to complete the three excerpts from Jaynes.

For Next Class:

  1. Reading: Chapter 3 if not already and read through Jaynes on Probability.
  2. Deliverable: A conversation on probability [Assignment 9].